La scuola delle quote

Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-07-12 17:36 UTC

Finale: Baltimore Orioles 8–2 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Casa)

Previsione 57.83%1.73quota equa
EV -0.529%
Vantaggio -0.307%
Kelly -0.734%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.84%57.81%57.69%58.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.19%59.88%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.17%2.37quota equa
EV -0.062%
Vantaggio -0.026%
Kelly -0.045%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.03%42.19%42.31%44.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.252.252.3746.51%44.35%44.44%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.529%E -0.307%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 14:44
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 04:54
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.75%E -0.751%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 11:54
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 12:14
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.484%E -0.205%K -0.356%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 16:44
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.75%E -0.751%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:24
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 18:04
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:24
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:24
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:24
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 12:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.062%E -0.026%K -0.045%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.906%E -0.385%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.906%E -0.385%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.33%E -0.567%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:29
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.28%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:30
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 05:39
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:44
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:49
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:34
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 15:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:04
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:49
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:27
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:32
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:44
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:24
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:33
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 15:44
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 15:44
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 15:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 17:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 17:34
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-12 16:40
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-11 23:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 13:49
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-07-12 17:24