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Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 59.22%1.69fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.31%59.24%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.87%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.69%40.76%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.332.4544.44%42.78%42.83%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.72%E -0.715%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 22:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 22:39 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-11 22:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 20:44 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 22:58 |
| GTbets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.093%E -0.038%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-11 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.908%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.908%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 20:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 21:09 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 20:54 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 22:29 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:44 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 22:35 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 22:44 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 20:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 23:03 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 22:33 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 22:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 22:42 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 22:50 |
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-11 20:45 |
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-11 23:03 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |