Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 23:06 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 6–1 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 59.22%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.659%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%59.31%59.24%60.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.87%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.78%2.45cote équitable
EV -0.093%
Avantage -0.038%
Kelly -0.064%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%40.69%40.76%41.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.342.332.4544.44%42.78%42.83%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 59.22% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 40.78%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.452. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.450, pour une espérance de -0.093% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.72%E -0.715%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:39
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:49
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 22:29
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 20:44
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:58
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.093%E -0.038%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.908%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.908%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:44
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 21:09
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:54
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 22:29
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:49
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 22:35
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 22:44
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:49
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:57
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:00
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 22:33
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 20:39
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 22:42
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 22:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 22:50
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-07-11 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 22:09
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 20:45
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 23:03
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-07-11 23:05
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-11 23:04