Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-07-11 23:06 UTC

Finale: Baltimore Orioles 6–1 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Baltimore Orioles (Casa)

Previsione 59.22%1.69quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.659%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%59.31%59.24%60.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.87%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.78%2.45quota equa
EV -0.093%
Vantaggio -0.038%
Kelly -0.064%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.24%40.69%40.76%41.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.342.332.4544.44%42.78%42.83%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Baltimore Orioles (Casa): 59.22%; Kansas City Royals (Trasferta): 40.78%. Per Kansas City Royals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.452. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.450, con un valore atteso del -0.093%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.72%E -0.715%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:39
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:49
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 22:29
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 20:44
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:58
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.093%E -0.038%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.908%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.908%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:44
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 21:09
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:54
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 22:29
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:49
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 22:35
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 22:44
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:49
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:57
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:00
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.99%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 22:33
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 20:39
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 22:42
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.13%E -0.888%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 22:50
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-07-11 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 22:09
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 20:45
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 23:03
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-07-11 23:05
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-11 23:04