Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 54.11%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 45.89%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.964%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.964%E +0.438%K +0.803%G +0.008% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.046%E +0.021%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.046%E +0.021%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.413%E -0.190%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.872%E -0.404%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.79%E -0.836%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.984%E -0.538%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 21:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 20:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 21:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.00%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.00%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.46%E -2.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 20:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.39%E -3.70%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 21:17 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.38%E -3.13%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 21:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 21:30 |