La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-05-24 22:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 1–4 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 54.11%1.85momio equitativo
EV -0.984%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.07%54.26%55.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.761.761.8357.80%56.68%56.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 45.89%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.964%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.803%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.58%45.93%45.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.2050.00%47.88%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.964%E +0.438%K +0.803%G +0.008%2.0%2026-05-24 21:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.046%E +0.021%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.046%E +0.021%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 21:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.413%E -0.190%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 21:50
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.872%E -0.404%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 22:00
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.79%E -0.836%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 22:00
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 22:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 21:30
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.984%E -0.538%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 21:00
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 21:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:30
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:19
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 22:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:20
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 21:18
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 21:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:59
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.00%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.00%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:20
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.46%E -2.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 20:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 21:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:50
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 21:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 20:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.39%E -3.70%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 21:17
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.38%E -3.13%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-05-24 22:00
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-24 21:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-24 21:50
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30