Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 22:06 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 1–4 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 54.11%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.984%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.07%54.26%55.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.761.761.8357.80%56.68%56.82%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.89%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.964%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.803%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.58%45.93%45.74%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.2050.00%47.88%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 54.11% ; Detroit Tigers (Visiteur) : 45.89%. Pour Detroit Tigers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.18. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.20, soit une espérance positive de +0.964%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.964%E +0.438%K +0.803%G +0.008%2.0%2026-05-24 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.046%E +0.021%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.046%E +0.021%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.413%E -0.190%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 21:50
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.872%E -0.404%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.79%E -0.836%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 22:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 21:30
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.984%E -0.538%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 21:00
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 21:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 21:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 21:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.00%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.00%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.46%E -2.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 20:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 20:59
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.39%E -3.70%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 21:17
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.38%E -3.13%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 21:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-05-24 22:00
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-24 21:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-24 21:50
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%5.2%2026-05-24 21:30