The School of OddsBaltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 54.13%1.85fair odd
EV -0.937%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%53.99%54.17%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.83MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
53.02%1.886Min
54.83%1.824Max
53.99%1.852Mean
54.17%1.846Median
54.13%1.847IQM
54.00%1.852Margin-weighted
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 45.87%2.18fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.01%45.83%46.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.992.062.052.10MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
45.17%2.214Min
46.98%2.128Max
46.01%2.173Mean
45.83%2.182Median
45.87%2.180IQM
46.00%2.174Margin-weighted
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Baltimore Orioles (Local) ▼ | Chicago Cubs (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -0.937% E -0.512% K -1.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56% NM 54.20%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 45.80%EV -2.30% E -1.08% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -2.56% E -1.42% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87% NM 54.68%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30% NM 45.32%EV -0.927% E -0.429% K -0.799% G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87% NM 54.57%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 45.43%EV -1.39% E -0.645% K -1.21% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87% NM 54.45%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 45.55%EV -1.84% E -0.862% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87% NM 54.45%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 45.55%EV -1.84% E -0.862% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.75%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 46.25%EV -4.60% E -2.21% K -4.26% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.35% E -3.64% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.35% E -3.64% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.35% E -3.64% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.10% E -1.73% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.35% E -3.64% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18% NM 54.01%EV -3.64% E -2.05% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 45.99%EV -4.14% E -1.98% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18% NM 53.40%EV -3.64% E -2.05% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 46.60%EV -6.43% E -3.15% K -6.18% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 00:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:25 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.18% E -2.36% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.29%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 45.71%EV -4.14% E -1.98% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.17%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.83%EV -4.60% E -2.21% K -4.26% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.17%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.83%EV -4.60% E -2.21% K -4.26% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.05%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.95%EV -5.06% E -2.44% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.05%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.95%EV -5.06% E -2.44% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82% NM 53.19%EV -4.73% E -2.69% K -6.22% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.81%EV -8.27% E -4.13% K -8.27% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.60% E -2.21% K -4.26% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.60% E -2.21% K -4.26% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 02:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -5.06% E -2.44% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.02% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -5.81% E -3.34% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.81% E -3.34% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.97% E -2.91% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.35% E -3.67% K -8.70% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.35% E -3.67% K -8.70% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.35% E -3.67% K -8.70% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.35% E -3.67% K -8.70% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.68% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -7.97% E -4.69% K -11.39% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -8.27% E -4.13% K -8.27% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 53.93%EV -7.97% E -4.69% K -11.39% G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25% NM 46.07%EV -8.72% E -4.38% K -8.81% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Baltimore Orioles (Local) | Chicago Cubs (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95% NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05% NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95% NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 02:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95% NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 02:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82% NM 53.93% | 1.99I 50.25% NM 46.07% | 9.1% | 2026-07-09 02:35 |