Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.00%54.11%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.50%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -0.818%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.00%45.89%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.072.052.1650.25%48.34%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.03%E -0.562%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.818%E -0.379%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.28%E -0.594%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 00:29 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 03:05 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 03:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.33%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 02:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17% | 9.9% | 2026-07-09 03:20 |