La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Predicción 54.08%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.02%54.00%54.11%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.50%56.50%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.818%
Ventaja -0.379%
Kelly -0.705%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.00%45.89%46.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.072.052.1650.25%48.34%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.03%E -0.562%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.818%E -0.379%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.28%E -0.594%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 00:29 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 03:05 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 03:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.33%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 02:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17% | 9.9% | 2026-07-09 03:20 |