Idioma:Português
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Previsão 54.08%1.85odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.562%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.02%54.00%54.11%54.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.50%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Previsão 45.92%2.18odd justa
EV -0.818%
Vantagem -0.379%
Kelly -0.705%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.00%45.89%46.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.072.052.1650.25%48.34%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 54.08%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 45.92%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.16, com valor esperado de -0.818%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.03%E -0.562%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.818%E -0.379%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.28%E -0.594%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 03:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 03:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.33%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 02:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17% | 9.9% | 2026-07-09 03:20 |