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Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

2026-08-01 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 62.89%1.59fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%62.91%62.95%64.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.521.521.5668.49%66.00%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.94%37.09%37.05%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.552.7041.67%38.97%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 62.89%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 37.11%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.70, producing a positive expected value of +0.210%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.90%E -1.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV +0.210%E +0.078%K +0.123%G +0.000%1.1%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV +0.210%E +0.078%K +0.123%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 17:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -0.533%E -0.199%K -0.317%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:19
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.904%E -0.338%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.904%E -0.338%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:35
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.65%E -0.621%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 17:59
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.56%E -5.14%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -2.76%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 17:14
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 17:20
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:55
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:19
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:19
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.93%E -4.68%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -3.87%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 17:09
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.24%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:49
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.24%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:14
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:13
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:19
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:50
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:54
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.53%E -1.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.53%E -1.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.30%E -4.23%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-31 18:55
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 17:25
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-07-31 19:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%10.2%2026-07-31 17:15