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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

2026-08-01 23:16 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 62.89%1.59公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -3.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
61.25%62.90%62.95%64.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.461.511.521.5668.49%66.02%65.79%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Nationals (客队)

预测 37.11%2.69公平赔率
EV +0.210%
优势 +0.078%
Kelly +0.123%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.94%37.10%37.05%38.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.572.562.7041.67%38.94%38.99%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Atlanta Braves (主队)：62.89%；Washington Nationals (客队)：37.11%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.69。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.70，由此产生+0.210%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.90%E -1.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV +0.210%E +0.078%K +0.123%G +0.000%1.1%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV +0.210%E +0.078%K +0.123%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 17:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -0.533%E -0.199%K -0.317%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:19
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.904%E -0.338%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.904%E -0.338%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:35
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.65%E -0.621%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 17:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.02%E -0.764%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 20:14
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.56%E -5.14%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -2.76%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 17:14
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 17:20
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:55
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:19
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:19
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.93%E -4.68%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -3.87%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 17:09
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.24%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:49
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.24%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:13
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:19
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:50
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:54
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.73%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:15
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.79%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.53%E -1.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.53%E -1.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.30%E -4.23%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 17:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-31 18:55
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-31 19:55
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-07-31 19:35
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%10.2%2026-07-31 17:15