Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-08-01 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 8–3 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 60.34%1.66odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.19%60.37%60.37%61.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.581.581.6365.36%63.16%63.29%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 39.66%2.52odd justa
EV -0.068%
Vantagem -0.027%
Kelly -0.044%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.83%39.63%39.63%40.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.402.402.5243.48%41.69%41.67%39.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 60.34%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 39.66%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.522. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.520, com valor esperado de -0.068%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.45%E -0.995%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 23:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.45%E -0.995%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 22:47
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.861%E -0.344%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 22:45
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.26%E -0.505%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.65%E -0.667%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 23:14
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 23:14
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 22:54
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 22:44
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.068%E -0.027%K -0.044%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.464%E -0.185%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.464%E -0.185%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.65%E -0.667%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.43%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 22:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 22:50
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 16:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.43%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:10
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.03%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.03%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 16:29
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:09
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 22:49
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:14
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 22:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:39
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 23:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.60%E -3.26%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.60%E -3.26%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 22:48
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 23:13
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-01 23:05
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 23:15
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 22:45
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-01 22:50
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-08-01 23:15
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-08-01 23:15
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-08-01 23:14