Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

2026-07-21 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 56.68%1.76fair odd

EV -1.38%

Edge -0.793%

Kelly -1.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.84%56.68%56.70%57.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.621.691.691.7462%59%59%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 43.32%2.31fair odd

EV -0.360%

Edge -0.157%

Kelly -0.277%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.60%43.32%43.30%44.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.202.202.3048%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.38%E -0.793%K -1.86%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.53%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-21 06:30
LowVig.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.38%E -0.793%K -1.86%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-21 06:30
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.38%E -0.793%K -1.86%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-21 06:30
1xBet	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.95%E -1.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.09%E -0.926%K -1.66%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-20 23:25
Pinnacle	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.95%E -1.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.96%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-21 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.95%E -1.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-21 05:25
Everygame	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.360%E -0.157%K -0.277%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-21 02:50
BetUS	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.66%E -0.731%K -1.31%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-21 07:40
PointsBet (AU)	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-20 21:05
BetRivers	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Unibet (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Unibet (NL)	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Svenska Spel	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.08%E -1.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Bovada	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 07:49
Coral	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 06:30
TAB	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 02:50
Casumo	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Unibet	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
ATG (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Bally Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
betPARX	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-21 03:55
Virgin Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.43%E -2.97%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-21 03:55
LiveScore Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.43%E -2.97%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-21 03:55
TABtouch	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.43%E -2.97%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-21 03:55
PlayUp	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 02:15
Neds	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 06:30
Dabble (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 04:30
theScore Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.53%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-20 23:15
BetAnything	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.96%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-21 05:25
MyBookie.ag	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.39%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-21 05:49
FanDuel	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-21 01:45
Caesars	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-20 19:05
Fanatics	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-20 19:05
Hard Rock Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-20 23:35
BetMGM	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-21 06:30
Marathon Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 08:10
Unibet (UK)	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.85%K -7.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-21 05:45
Bet Right	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.85%K -7.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-20 23:40
Coolbet	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.85%K -7.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-21 00:49
Betsson	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.78%E -2.85%K -7.03%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.56%E -2.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-21 05:29
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.78%E -2.85%K -7.03%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.56%E -2.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-21 05:30
Betway	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.53%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 05:44
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.39%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-21 05:45
Fliff	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 05:05
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 05:45
ReBet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 05:45
888sport	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-20 23:15
Betr (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-20 23:15
888sport (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-20 23:15
Mr Green (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-20 23:15
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-20 20:45
BoyleSports	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 05:45
betano_uk	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 05:44
LeoVegas	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 05:45
Grosvenor	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.35%E -3.20%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.16%E -3.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-21 03:55
Winamax (DE)	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.91%E -3.56%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-21 05:45
SportsBet	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.91%E -3.56%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.56%E -2.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-21 01:50
Betclic (FR)	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.91%E -3.56%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.56%E -2.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-21 05:44
Paddy Power	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.48%E -3.93%K -9.97%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-21 01:49
Tipico (DE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.48%E -3.93%K -9.97%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-21 06:05
Unibet (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.05%E -4.30%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-21 05:45
Winamax (FR)	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.18%E -5.05%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.02%E -4.30%K -8.20%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-21 05:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%	0.4%	2026-07-21 07:00
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-20 19:15
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-07-21 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-07-21 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-07-21 07:10
BetOpenly	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%	2.0%	2026-07-21 07:55
ProphetX	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%	2.0%	2026-07-21 08:10
Smarkets	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%	2.4%	2026-07-21 08:10
Matchbook	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%	3.2%	2026-07-21 08:10