L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 3–8 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 56.84%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%56.93%56.85%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.98%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.16%2.32cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.607%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.07%43.15%43.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.242.242.3546.51%44.65%44.64%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015%2.8%2026-07-21 20:50
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015%2.8%2026-07-21 20:55
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.562%E +0.241%K +0.423%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-21 23:10
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +0.131%E +0.056%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-21 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.131%E +0.056%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.131%E +0.056%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 20:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 23:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-21 22:45
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:55
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:50
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:50
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:55
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:55
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 20:50
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 20:55
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.16%E -0.508%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 22:40
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.16%E -0.508%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 22:25
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.03%E -0.893%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.03%E -0.893%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 23:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 21:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 19:35
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 19:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:14
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 20:50
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 23:14
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 23:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 21:50
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 21:05
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 23:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 20:45
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 21:55
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:10
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 21:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 20:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 20:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 23:05
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 23:05
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-07-21 23:15
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-07-21 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-21 22:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-21 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-21 23:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-21 23:15
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%2.8%2026-07-21 23:15
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-07-21 23:15