La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 56.84%1.76momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%56.93%56.85%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.98%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 43.16%2.32momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.607%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.07%43.15%43.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.242.242.3546.51%44.65%44.64%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.562%E +0.241%K +0.423%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +0.131%E +0.056%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.131%E +0.056%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.131%E +0.056%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-21 22:45 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.733%E -0.319%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.16%E -0.508%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.16%E -0.508%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.03%E -0.893%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.03%E -0.893%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 23:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 23:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 20:45 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 22:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |