Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 17:36 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 57.92%1.73fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.531%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.88%57.93%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.651.7262.89%60.45%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%42.12%42.07%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.23%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 57.92%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 42.08%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -0.383%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.383%E -0.222%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:30
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:29
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:29
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-07 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.54%E -0.906%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 17:22
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 17:09
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 14:10
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:08
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 17:20
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:39
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.16%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.95%E -0.836%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:29
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 11:39
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 06:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 14:50
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 04:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.91%E -4.98%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-07 17:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-06-07 17:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-07 17:29
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-07 17:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-06-07 17:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-06-07 17:29