L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-07 17:36 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 57.92%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.383%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.531%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.88%57.93%59.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.651.651.7262.89%60.45%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.08%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -0.819%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.95%42.12%42.07%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.23%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.383%E -0.222%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:29
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:30
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:29
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:29
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:29
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-07 16:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.54%E -0.906%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 17:22
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 17:09
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 16:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 14:10
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:30
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:29
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:59
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:08
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 16:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 17:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 14:34
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 17:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 17:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 17:09
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:09
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 11:49
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.16%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.95%E -0.836%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:29
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 11:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 06:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 14:50
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:09
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 04:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.91%E -4.98%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-07 17:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-06-07 17:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-07 17:29
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-07 17:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-06-07 17:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-06-07 17:29