La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-06-07 17:36 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 57.92%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.383%
Ventaja -0.222%
Kelly -0.531%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.88%57.93%59.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.651.651.7262.89%60.45%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 42.08%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.470%
Kelly -0.819%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.95%42.12%42.07%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.23%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.383%E -0.222%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:29
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:30
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:29
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:29
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:29
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.962%E -0.562%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-07 16:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.54%E -0.906%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 17:22
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 17:09
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 16:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 14:10
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:30
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:29
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:59
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:08
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.86%E -2.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.58%E -2.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 16:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 17:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 14:34
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 17:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 17:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 17:09
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:09
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 11:49
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.16%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.95%E -0.836%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:29
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 11:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 06:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 14:50
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:09
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.21%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 04:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.91%E -4.98%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-07 17:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-06-07 17:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-07 17:29
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-07 17:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-06-07 17:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-06-07 17:29