默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间： 2026-09-12 23:16 UTC

最终结果： Atlanta Braves 12–2 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 56.45%1.77公平赔率

EV -0.085%

优势 -0.048%

Kelly -0.110%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

54.23%56.38%56.47%58.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.561.691.691.7764.10%59.30%59.00%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 43.55%2.30公平赔率

EV +0.166%

优势 +0.072%

Kelly +0.128%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.49%43.62%43.53%45.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.49%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Atlanta Braves (主队)：56.45%；Philadelphia Phillies (客队)：43.55%。对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.296。当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.300，对应+0.166%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetRivers🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
Casumo🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
betPARX🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:15
GTbets🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.269%E -0.117%K -0.209%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-09-12 22:30
Everygame🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.705%E -0.309%K -0.550%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-12 20:36
Pinnacle🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-09-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-12 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-12 22:29
BetUS🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-12 23:10
BetAnything🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-12 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-12 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-12 23:15
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.32%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-12 22:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 20:25
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 20:25
Bovada🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 23:04
Fanatics🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 20:25
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 20:35
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 22:54
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 21:35
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:14
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-12 23:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-09-12 23:15
1xBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.085%E -0.048%K -0.110%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.62%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-12 19:50
Bet Right🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 21:34
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 22:30
TABtouch🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 22:50
Coolbet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 21:35
FanDuel🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 14:30
ReBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-12 23:14
TAB🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-12 22:35
Neds🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 20:24
Betr (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 20:20
betfred_uk🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-12 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-12 21:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 23:08
betano_uk🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 23:05
SportsBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 14:30
PlayUp🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:35
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:40
Betsson🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 19:45
LeoVegas🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-12 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-12 20:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-12 20:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%	0.6%	2026-09-12 23:15
ProphetX◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%	0.9%	2026-09-12 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:05
Matchbook◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-09-12 23:15
Kalshi◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-09-12 20:25
BetOpenly◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%	2.3%	2026-09-12 20:35
Smarkets◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%	2.7%	2026-09-12 23:15

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

胜负盘

Atlanta Braves (主队)

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)