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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-09-12 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 12–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 56.45%1.77odd justa
EV -0.085%
Vantagem -0.048%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%56.38%56.47%58.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.691.691.7764.10%59.30%59.00%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 43.55%2.30odd justa
EV +0.166%
Vantagem +0.072%
Kelly +0.128%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.49%43.62%43.53%45.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.49%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.45%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 43.55%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.296. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.300, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.166%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.269%E -0.117%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-12 22:30
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.705%E -0.309%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 20:36
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 22:29
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-12 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 23:15
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.32%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 22:54
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:14
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 23:15
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.085%E -0.048%K -0.110%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.62%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:30
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 23:14
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 22:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:08
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-09-12 23:15
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-09-12 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 23:15
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 20:25
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-09-12 20:35
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-09-12 23:15