مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-09-12 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlanta Braves 12–2 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Atlanta Braves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.45%1.77السعر العادل
EV -0.085%
الأفضلية -0.048%
Kelly -0.110%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.23%56.38%56.47%58.51%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.691.691.7764.10%59.30%59.00%56.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.55%2.30السعر العادل
EV +0.166%
الأفضلية +0.072%
Kelly +0.128%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.49%43.62%43.53%45.77%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.49%45.45%43.48%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Atlanta Braves (المضيف)⁩: ⁨56.45%⁩؛ ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)⁩: ⁨43.55%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.296⁩. عرضت 9 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.300⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.166%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.166%E +0.072%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:15
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.269%E -0.117%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-12 22:30
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.705%E -0.309%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 20:36
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 22:29
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-12 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.894%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 23:15
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.32%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 22:54
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:14
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 23:15
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.085%E -0.048%K -0.110%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.62%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:30
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 23:14
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 22:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:08
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.21%E -0.694%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-09-12 23:15
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-09-12 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 23:05
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 23:15
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 20:25
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-09-12 20:35
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-09-12 23:15