Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-12 23:16 UTC — MLB

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Atlanta Braves (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.98%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.89%
Преимущество +1.04%
Kelly +2.31%
Рост +0.044%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.11%55.88%55.98%57.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.631.711.701.8261.35%58.56%58.82%54.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)

Прогноз 44.02%2.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.24%
Преимущество +0.538%
Kelly +0.952%
Рост +0.012%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.50%44.12%44.02%47.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.982.172.172.3050.51%46.02%46.08%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Atlanta Braves (Хозяева): 55.98%; Philadelphia Phillies (Гости): 44.02%. Для исхода «Atlanta Braves (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.79. 1 букмекер предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 1.82, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +1.89%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +1.89%E +1.04%K +2.31%G +0.044%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -12.85%E -6.49%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:55
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.909%E -0.513%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.909%E -0.513%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.47%E -0.834%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-12 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 16:20
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.964%E -0.428%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-12 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 20:23
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -6.25%E -2.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 20:24
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.69%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 16:40
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:25
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:25
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.04%E -1.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 18:58
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:20
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:24
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.24%E +0.538%K +0.952%G +0.012%2.3%2026-09-12 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +0.797%E +0.348%K +0.618%G +0.005%2.5%2026-09-12 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +0.797%E +0.348%K +0.618%G +0.005%2.5%2026-09-12 20:25
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +0.357%E +0.156%K +0.279%G +0.001%2.7%2026-09-12 20:25
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.083%E -0.037%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:24
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.72%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.04%E -1.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 20:25
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:25
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:25
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 20:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 20:17
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 20:25
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.69%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 20:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-09-12 20:25
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-09-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-12 14:25
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-12 20:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 20:25
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-09-12 20:25
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-09-12 17:50
Арбитраж (9 комбинаций) +1.60%Dabble (AU) 1.82 (55.8%) / GTbets 2.30 (44.2%)Показать все комбинации (9)
Atlanta Braves (Хозяева)Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)Маржа
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.8%)GTbets🎯 2.30 (44.2%)+1.60%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.7%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.29 (44.3%)+1.41%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.7%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.29 (44.3%)+1.41%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.6%)BetUS🎯 2.28 (44.4%)+1.21%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.5%)BetAnything🎯 2.27 (44.5%)+1.01%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.3%)Everygame🎯 2.25 (44.7%)+0.614%
1xBet🎯 1.77 (56.5%)GTbets🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.77 (56.5%)GTbets🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.22 (45.0%)+0.010%