The School of Odds

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

2026-07-06 23:16 — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Option 1: Atlanta Braves (Local)

Odds
1.7058.82%Min
1.7955.99%Mean
1.7955.71%Median
1.8653.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
52.63%1.900Min
54.09%1.849Max
53.30%1.876Mean
53.25%1.878Median
53.23%1.879IQM
53.32%1.875Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.86 under the IQM model: 53.23%

EV -0.994%Edge -0.534%Kelly -1.16%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New York Mets (Visit)

Odds
1.9252.08%Min
2.0449.06%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1147.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
45.91%2.178Min
47.37%2.111Max
46.70%2.141Mean
46.75%2.139Median
46.77%2.138IQM
46.68%2.142Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.11 under the IQM model: 46.77%

EV -1.31%Edge -0.623%Kelly -1.18%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAtlanta Braves (Local) ▼New York Mets (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76% NM 52.67%EV -0.994% E -0.534% K -1.16% G +0.000%2.07I 48.31% NM 47.33%EV -3.18% E -1.54% K -2.98% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 18:35
GTbets1.83I 54.64% NM 53.55%EV -2.59% E -1.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%2.11I 47.39% NM 46.45%EV -1.31% E -0.623% K -1.18% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 18:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -2.59% E -1.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -1.78% E -0.848% K -1.62% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -2.59% E -1.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -1.78% E -0.848% K -1.62% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:19
BetUS1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -2.59% E -1.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -1.78% E -0.848% K -1.62% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 19:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:20
Caesars1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Coral1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 20:05
Bet Right1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -4.59% E -2.25% K -4.41% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -4.59% E -2.25% K -4.41% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56% NM 52.88%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.12%EV -5.52% E -2.73% K -5.41% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.46% E -3.23% K -6.46% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.46% E -3.23% K -6.46% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:14
FanDuel1.79I 55.87% NM 53.75%EV -4.72% E -2.64% K -5.97% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 46.25%EV -2.72% E -1.31% K -2.52% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 19:00
DraftKings1.79I 55.87% NM 53.26%EV -4.72% E -2.64% K -5.97% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.74%EV -4.59% E -2.25% K -4.41% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 18:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -4.72% E -2.64% K -5.97% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.52% E -2.73% K -5.41% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:19
Betsson1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -4.72% E -2.64% K -5.97% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.52% E -2.73% K -5.41% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.52%EV -5.25% E -2.95% K -6.73% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.48%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:50
Neds1.78I 56.18% NM 53.52%EV -5.25% E -2.95% K -6.73% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.48%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.03%EV -5.25% E -2.95% K -6.73% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 46.97%EV -5.99% E -2.98% K -5.93% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.25% E -2.95% K -6.73% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.46% E -3.23% K -6.46% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 18:25
SportsBet1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -6.32% E -3.59% K -8.31% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 19:00
888sport1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -6.46% E -3.23% K -6.46% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 18:24
Fliff1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -7.38% E -4.24% K -9.97% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -4.12% E -2.01% K -3.92% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 18:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47% NM 52.85%EV -7.38% E -4.24% K -9.97% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.15%EV -8.80% E -4.51% K -9.26% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14% NM 52.88%EV -8.45% E -4.91% K -11.73% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 47.12%EV -9.73% E -5.04% K -10.47% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -9.51% E -5.59% K -13.59% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 46.96%EV -10.20% E -5.31% K -11.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-05 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAtlanta Braves (Local)New York Mets (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%2.13I 46.95%1.0%2026-07-05 18:20
Novig1.83I 54.64%2.15I 46.51%1.2%2026-07-05 20:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%2.13I 46.95%1.9%2026-07-05 18:50
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%1.93I 51.81%10.0%2026-07-05 18:20