Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-06 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 6–7 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

53%

47%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 53.42%1.87cote équitable

EV -0.104%

Avantage -0.055%

Kelly -0.119%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

52.00%53.46%53.34%55.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

1.681.771.771.8759.52%56.51%56.50%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.58%2.15cote équitable

EV +1.54%

Avantage +0.708%

Kelly +1.31%

Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

44.39%46.54%46.66%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

1.952.072.052.1851.28%48.23%48.78%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur ▼	Marge	Mise à jour
Svenska Spel	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV +1.54%E +0.708%K +1.31%G +0.020%	3.3%	2026-07-06 22:59
Unibet (NL)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV +0.612%E +0.283%K +0.527%G +0.003%	4.1%	2026-07-06 23:09
Unibet (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV +0.612%E +0.283%K +0.527%G +0.003%	4.1%	2026-07-06 23:00
1xBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-06 12:55
Casumo	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-06 23:09
Unibet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-06 22:59
ATG (SE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-06 23:10
Bally Bet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-06 23:10
betPARX	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-06 23:00
Virgin Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-06 23:00
BetRivers	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-06 23:10
TABtouch	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-06 22:59
Pinnacle	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.25%E -0.590%K -1.12%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-07-06 23:10
GTbets	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.72%E -0.814%K -1.55%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-06 22:40
LowVig.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-06 22:39
BetAnything	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-06 23:05
Caesars	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-06 22:18
Bovada	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-06 22:54
Fliff	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-06 22:35
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-06 05:20
Grosvenor	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-06 23:09
BetUS	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-06 23:10
FanDuel	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.38%E -2.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-06 15:35
Coolbet	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-06 22:20
MyBookie.ag	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-06 22:19
SportsBet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-06 15:34
Bet Right	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-06 22:20
Everygame	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.104%E -0.055%K -0.119%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-06 23:10
PointsBet (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 20:09
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 21:39
Coral	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 21:40
BetMGM	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 22:20
Hard Rock Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 23:14
TAB	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 22:19
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-06 21:40
Neds	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-06 21:40
Dabble (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-06 23:14
Fanatics	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 22:55
PlayUp	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 22:19
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-06 22:19
888sport	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-06 22:20
888sport (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-06 22:19
DraftKings	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.38%E -2.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-06 22:20
Marathon Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-06 23:09
NordicBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-06 22:20
Betsson	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-06 22:20
Unibet (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.91%E -2.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-06 23:15
Winamax (DE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-06 23:15
Betway	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-06 23:14
Unibet (FR)	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-06 23:04
Paddy Power	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-06 20:49
LeoVegas	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-06 23:15
Tipico (DE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.19%E -5.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-06 23:15
Winamax (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-06 23:15
Betclic (FR)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-06 22:49
Bet Victor	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-06 23:03

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
BetOpenly	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%	0.5%	2026-07-06 22:45
Polymarket	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-07-06 23:15
Kalshi	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-07-06 23:15
Novig	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-07-06 23:15
Matchbook	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%	1.1%	2026-07-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%	1.1%	2026-07-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%	1.1%	2026-07-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%	1.4%	2026-07-06 23:15
ProphetX	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%	1.8%	2026-07-06 23:15
Smarkets	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%	2.1%	2026-07-06 23:00