La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-07-06 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–7 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 53.42%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.104%
Ventaja -0.055%
Kelly -0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.46%53.34%55.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.771.8759.52%56.51%56.50%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 46.58%2.15momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.708%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%46.54%46.66%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.052.1851.28%48.23%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV +1.54%E +0.708%K +1.31%G +0.020%3.3%2026-07-06 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV +0.612%E +0.283%K +0.527%G +0.003%4.1%2026-07-06 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV +0.612%E +0.283%K +0.527%G +0.003%4.1%2026-07-06 23:00
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 12:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:09
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:59
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:10
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.320%E -0.150%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:59
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.25%E -0.590%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 23:10
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.72%E -0.814%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:40
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:39
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 23:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:18
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 22:54
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 22:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 05:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 23:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 23:10
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.38%E -2.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 15:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:19
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 15:34
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:20
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.104%E -0.055%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:09
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 23:14
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:19
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 21:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 21:40
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 23:14
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:19
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 22:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:19
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.38%E -2.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 22:20
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 22:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.91%E -2.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 23:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 23:04
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 20:49
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.19%E -5.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 22:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 23:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-06 22:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-06 23:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-06 23:15
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-06 23:15
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-07-06 23:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-07-06 23:15
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-06 23:00