Language:English
Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.05%57.11%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7462.50%60.19%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.774%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.95%42.89%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.25%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 57.00%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 43.00%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.675%E -0.292%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.11%E -0.480%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-13 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.11%E -0.480%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -0.816%E -0.469%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.816%E -0.469%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-13 10:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-13 11:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.69%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |