مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-04-13 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlanta Braves 4–10 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlanta Braves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.00%1.75السعر العادل
EV -0.816%
الأفضلية -0.469%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.26%57.05%57.11%59.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.661.671.7462.50%60.19%59.88%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.00%2.33السعر العادل
EV +1.04%
الأفضلية +0.445%
Kelly +0.774%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.51%42.95%42.89%44.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.25%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%3.2%2026-04-13 22:49
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:49
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:49
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:50
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:49
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.675%E -0.292%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 21:05
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.11%E -0.480%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.11%E -0.480%K -0.850%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-13 23:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -0.816%E -0.469%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 23:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 23:14
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-13 23:14
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:35
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.816%E -0.469%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-13 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 10:29
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 11:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 23:10
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 20:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 12:35
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:29
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:29
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:30
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 23:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:34
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 14:09
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:14
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 23:08
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:09
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 23:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:45
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 23:34
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 23:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 20:49
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.69%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:14
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 23:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 23:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-04-13 23:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-13 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-13 23:15
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-13 23:14
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-13 22:55
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-04-13 23:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-13 23:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-04-13 23:15
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-04-13 23:15