A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-13 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 4–10 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 57.00%1.75odd justa
EV -0.816%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%57.05%57.11%59.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7462.50%60.19%59.88%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 43.00%2.33odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.445%
Kelly +0.774%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.51%42.95%42.89%44.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.25%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%3.2%2026-04-13 22:49
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:49
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%4.7%2026-04-13 22:50
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:49
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:50
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.04%E +0.445%K +0.774%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-13 22:49
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.675%E -0.292%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 21:05
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.11%E -0.480%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.11%E -0.480%K -0.850%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-13 23:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -0.816%E -0.469%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 23:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 23:14
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-13 23:14
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:35
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.816%E -0.469%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-13 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 10:29
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 11:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 23:10
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 20:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 12:35
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:29
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:29
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:30
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 23:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:34
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 14:09
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:14
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 23:08
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:09
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 23:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:45
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 23:34
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 23:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.40%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 20:49
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.69%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:14
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 23:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 23:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-04-13 23:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-13 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-13 23:15
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-13 23:14
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-13 22:55
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-04-13 23:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-13 23:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-04-13 23:15
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-04-13 23:15