Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:22 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.68%56.29%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7563.69%59.91%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.080%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%43.32%43.71%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.67%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.48%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 43.52%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.298. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -10.20%E -6.42%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -2.07%E -0.921%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 23:20
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.17%E -0.666%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-27 23:05
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:40
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:00
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:20
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.17%E -0.666%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 22:05
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:45
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 17:20
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:09
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.55%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.99%E -2.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:35
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 21:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -7.30%E -3.43%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.95%E -6.48%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.95%E -6.48%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-27 23:20
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-27 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%2.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-03-27 23:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-03-27 23:20
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-03-27 23:20