L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 23:22 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 56.48%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.56%56.68%56.29%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.671.7563.69%59.91%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.52%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.103%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.080%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%43.32%43.71%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.67%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -10.20%E -6.42%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -2.07%E -0.921%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 23:20
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.17%E -0.666%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-27 23:05
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:40
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 23:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 23:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 21:35
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:20
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.17%E -0.666%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 22:05
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:35
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:45
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 17:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 23:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 23:20
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:20
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.55%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.99%E -2.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:35
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:05
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 20:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 21:33
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:20
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -7.30%E -3.43%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.95%E -6.48%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.95%E -6.48%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-27 23:20
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-27 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%2.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-03-27 23:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-03-27 23:20
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-03-27 23:20