La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:22 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 56.48%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%56.68%56.29%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7563.69%59.91%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 43.52%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.080%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.18%43.32%43.71%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.67%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -10.20%E -6.42%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -2.07%E -0.921%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 23:20
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.17%E -0.666%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-27 23:05
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:40
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:20
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.07%E -5.64%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:20
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 23:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 23:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 21:35
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:20
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.17%E -0.666%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 22:05
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:35
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:45
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 17:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 23:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 23:20
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:20
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.55%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.99%E -2.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:35
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:05
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 20:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 21:33
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:20
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -7.30%E -3.43%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 23:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.95%E -6.48%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.95%E -6.48%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-27 23:20
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-27 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%2.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-03-27 23:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-03-27 23:20
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-03-27 23:20