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Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-16 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 54.12%1.85fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.15%54.17%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8058.82%56.77%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV -0.441%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.377%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%45.85%45.83%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.072.1750.25%48.13%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 54.12%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 45.88%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.17, with an expected value of -0.441%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.36%E -0.632%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 18:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.36%E -0.632%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:04
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.12%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.441%E -0.203%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.12%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.03%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 18:28
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.03%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 19:09
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:09
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:27
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:13
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:28
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.45%E -4.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -8.70%E -4.37%K -8.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.00%E -4.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-15 18:05
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-15 18:54
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-08-15 20:30
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%9.9%2026-08-15 18:29

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