默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-16 17:36 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 53.81%1.86公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -3.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.25%53.86%53.75%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.771.761.8058.14%56.65%56.82%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 46.19%2.16公平赔率
EV +0.236%
优势 +0.109%
Kelly +0.201%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
45.17%46.14%46.25%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.072.052.1750.76%48.28%48.78%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Atlanta Braves (主队):53.81%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):46.19%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.17,由此产生+0.236%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.68%E -2.06%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.236%E +0.109%K +0.201%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 18:34
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.688%E -0.320%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 18:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.688%E -0.320%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.61%E -0.757%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.61%E -0.757%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:04
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.68%E -2.06%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:30
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 19:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 21:34
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:13
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:28
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 21:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.45%E -4.33%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 21:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.45%E -4.33%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 21:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-15 18:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-15 18:54
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-08-15 20:39
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%10.1%2026-08-15 21:34

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