Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-08-16 17:37 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 53.82%1.86odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.828%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.88%53.93%54.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.771.771.8359.52%56.50%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 46.18%2.17odd justa
EV -0.707%
Vantagem -0.329%
Kelly -0.615%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.08%46.12%46.07%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.072.052.1550.51%48.28%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 53.82%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 46.18%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.17. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.15, com valor esperado de -0.707%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-16 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 16:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:19
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.86%E -2.36%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 17:35
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.05%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.63%E -0.766%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -4.40%E -2.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 17:35
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.707%E -0.329%K -0.615%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.63%E -0.766%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.63%E -0.766%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.40%E -2.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 17:23
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:34
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:34
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:54
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.71%E -3.32%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.71%E -3.32%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 16:34
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.63%E -3.82%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:19
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.86%E -2.36%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.21%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.21%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.21%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.21%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.25%E -3.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.21%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.25%E -3.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.707%E -0.329%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 15:43
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.707%E -0.329%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.86%E -2.36%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.63%E -3.82%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.86%E -2.36%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.28%E -3.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:44
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.71%E -3.32%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.82%E -3.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.63%E -3.82%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:34
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:45
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.09%E -0.987%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.56%E -4.32%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:23
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 15:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.63%E -3.82%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.97%E -4.66%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.94%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.97%E -4.66%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.94%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 15:44
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:23
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.59%E -5.71%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.79%E -2.84%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-08-16 17:34
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-16 17:35
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-16 02:25
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-16 17:35
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-08-16 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-08-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-08-16 17:35
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-08-16 17:35
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-16 17:35