The School of Odds

Athletics v Washington Nationals

2026-07-19 20:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 45.32%2.21fair odd
EV -0.751%
Edge -0.343%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.30%45.29%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1950%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 54.68%1.83fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.70%54.71%55.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.741.7960%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.751%E -0.343%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.67%E -1.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 18:20
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.66%E -0.764%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.12%E -1.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 17:59
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.66%E -0.764%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.67%E -1.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:20
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.66%E -0.764%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.67%E -1.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:19
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.47%E -1.63%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 18:20
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.92%E -1.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.76%E -2.14%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 19:25
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:45
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:24
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:50
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:55
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 20:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 20:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-07-18 21:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-18 18:35
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%5.0%2026-07-18 21:30
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%5.1%2026-07-18 21:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%9.0%2026-07-18 21:30