La escuela de los momios

Athletics v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-07-19 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–5 Washington Nationals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 42.54%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.828%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.604%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%42.72%42.60%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3747.62%44.49%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 57.46%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.600%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -0.822%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.28%57.40%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.15%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.828%E +0.349%K +0.604%G +0.005%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 20:05
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.023%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 20:05
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.023%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:59
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.023%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 19:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.874%E -0.375%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.874%E -0.375%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 20:05
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.560%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-19 19:44
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.30%E -0.560%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 19:05
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.30%E -0.560%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 19:05
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.73%E -0.747%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-19 18:45
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.15%E -0.935%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.935%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.15%E -0.935%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 16:45
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:05
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-19 16:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 19:25
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 18:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 18:54
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:05
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:05
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.49%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 19:50
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 18:55
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.13%E -2.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.49%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 19:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:23
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:45
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:40
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -5.98%E -2.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.35%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 01:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.600%E -0.347%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:05
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 20:05
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 19:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-07-19 19:50
Polymarket2.39I 41.84%NM 41.56%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.44%0.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-19 16:50
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-07-19 20:05
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%3.3%2026-07-19 20:04