L’École des cotes

Athletics v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 20:06 UTC

Score final : Athletics 2–5 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 42.54%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.828%
Avantage +0.349%
Kelly +0.604%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%42.72%42.60%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3747.62%44.49%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.46%1.74cote équitable
EV -0.600%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -0.822%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.28%57.40%59.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.15%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.828%E +0.349%K +0.604%G +0.005%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 20:05
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.023%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 20:05
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.023%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:59
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.023%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 19:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.874%E -0.375%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.874%E -0.375%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 20:05
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.560%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-19 19:44
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.30%E -0.560%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 19:05
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.30%E -0.560%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 19:05
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.73%E -0.747%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-19 18:45
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.15%E -0.935%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.935%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.15%E -0.935%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 16:45
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:05
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:05
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-19 16:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 19:25
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 18:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 18:54
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:05
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:05
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.49%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 19:50
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 18:55
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.13%E -2.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.49%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 19:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:23
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:45
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:40
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -5.98%E -2.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.35%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 01:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.600%E -0.347%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:05
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 19:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.90%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 20:05
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 19:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-07-19 19:50
Polymarket2.39I 41.84%NM 41.56%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.44%0.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-19 16:50
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-07-19 20:05
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%3.3%2026-07-19 20:04