A Escola das Odds

Athletics v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-07-05 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–7 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 44.31%2.26odd justa
EV -0.301%
Vantagem -0.134%
Kelly -0.241%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.44%44.30%46.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.43%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 55.69%1.80odd justa
EV -0.873%
Vantagem -0.490%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%55.56%55.70%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.20%58.48%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.301%E -0.134%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 22:45
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.19%E -0.533%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 01:05
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.63%E -0.735%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 01:15
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:35
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:39
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 00:25
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:05
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:29
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.11%E -4.92%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:25
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:55
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 00:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:25
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:30
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 20:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:38
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 01:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:35
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -0.873%E -0.490%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 01:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.43%E -0.808%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 01:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:15
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-05 01:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-07-05 01:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-07-05 01:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-07-05 01:39
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-07-05 01:40