مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletics v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-07-05 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletics 2–7 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.31%2.26السعر العادل
EV -0.301%
الأفضلية -0.134%
Kelly -0.241%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.86%44.44%44.30%46.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.43%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.69%1.80السعر العادل
EV -0.873%
الأفضلية -0.490%
Kelly -1.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.66%55.56%55.70%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.20%58.48%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.301%E -0.134%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 22:45
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.19%E -0.533%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 01:05
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.63%E -0.735%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 01:15
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:35
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:39
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 00:25
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:05
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:29
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.11%E -4.92%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:25
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:55
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 00:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:25
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:30
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 20:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:38
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 01:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:35
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -0.873%E -0.490%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 01:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.43%E -0.808%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 01:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 01:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:15
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-05 01:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-07-05 01:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-07-05 01:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-07-05 01:39
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-07-05 01:40