La escuela de los momios

Athletics v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-07-05 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–7 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 44.31%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.301%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.241%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.44%44.30%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.43%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 55.69%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.873%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.56%55.70%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.20%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.301%E -0.134%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 22:45
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.19%E -0.533%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 01:05
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.63%E -0.735%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 01:15
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:35
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:39
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 00:25
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:05
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:29
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.11%E -4.92%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:25
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:55
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 00:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:25
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:30
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 20:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:38
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 01:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:35
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -0.873%E -0.490%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 01:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.43%E -0.808%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 01:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 00:15
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-05 01:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-07-05 01:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-07-05 01:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-07-05 01:39
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-07-05 01:40