L’École des cotesFrançais
Athletics v Miami Marlins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletics (Local)
Prévision 44.31%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.301%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.241%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.44%44.30%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.43%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Miami Marlins (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.69%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.873%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%55.56%55.70%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.20%58.48%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.301%E -0.134%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.19%E -0.533%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| BetUS | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.63%E -0.735%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.07%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 21:20 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 21:20 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 00:29 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.11%E -4.92%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Caesars | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Bovada | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:24 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 00:14 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 21:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 20:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -0.873%E -0.490%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.21%E -2.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.66%E -2.11%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.43%E -0.808%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.33%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| BetOpenly | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |