Language:English
Athletics v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletics (Local)
Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV -0.618%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.84%37.54%37.50%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.35%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 62.50%1.60fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.91%62.46%62.50%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.57%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 37.50%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 62.50%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.618%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 01:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.74%E -0.665%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 22:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-31 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-31 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 01:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 01:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.99%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.00%E -3.29%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.00%E -3.29%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.50%E -1.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.50%E -1.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 01:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.72%EV -7.74%E -3.15%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -6.88%E -4.62%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 01:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 01:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 1.8% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
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