Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-07-31 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–5 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 37.50%2.67odd justa
EV -0.618%
Vantagem -0.233%
Kelly -0.374%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.84%37.54%37.50%39.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.35%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 62.50%1.60odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.794%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.91%62.46%62.50%64.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.57%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 37.50%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 62.50%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.67. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -0.618%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 01:34
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 01:30
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.618%E -0.233%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:45
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 01:35
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 23:24
Caesars🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.74%E -0.665%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 22:53
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 01:20
BetAnything🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 01:34
BetUS🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 01:34
DraftKings🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 22:55
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 01:35
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.49%E -0.959%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 23:59
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 01:17
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 22:55
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.99%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.00%E -3.29%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:35
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.00%E -3.29%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:09
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.50%E -1.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.50%E -1.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:20
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:25
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:24
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:25
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 01:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 01:40
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:55
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.72%EV -7.74%E -3.15%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -6.88%E -4.62%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 01:40
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 01:40
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 01:30
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 01:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-07-31 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-07-31 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-07-31 01:40
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-07-31 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-07-31 01:35
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-31 01:30
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-07-30 23:35
ProphetX◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-07-31 01:40
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-07-31 01:40
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-07-31 01:40