Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-31 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 41.03%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.639%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.90%41.03%41.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.302.4046.51%43.34%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 58.97%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.926%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.21%59.10%58.97%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.621.621.6864.94%61.89%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.53%E -0.639%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 22:40
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.53%E -0.639%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 01:54
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.53%E -0.639%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:45
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.94%E -0.813%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 02:20
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 21:44
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.926%E -0.551%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 02:49
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:50
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:45
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 01:45
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 19:00
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 19:10
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:35
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:35
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:35
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:35
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:45
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 19:10
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 19:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 20:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 02:19
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 01:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 00:59
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 02:45
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:35
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:34
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.87%E -3.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 20:08
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.87%E -3.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 20:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 00:35
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 01:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.79%E -5.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.18%E -5.96%K -17.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-29 21:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 39.67%1.67I 59.88%NM 60.33%-0.7%2026-07-30 02:24
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-30 02:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-07-30 02:25
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-07-30 02:24
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-07-30 02:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%10.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%11.7%2026-07-30 01:50