The School of Odds

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-29 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 43.09%2.32fair odd
EV -0.894%
Edge -0.389%
Kelly -0.687%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.07%43.15%44.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3048.78%45.27%45.45%43.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 56.91%1.76fair odd
EV -0.407%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.543%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.92%56.93%56.85%57.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.75%59.88%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.894%E -0.389%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 18:00
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.19%E -0.963%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.19%E -0.963%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:10
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:08
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.34%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.407%E -0.233%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 20:15
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.34%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.34%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.34%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 20:10
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.77%E -2.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 19:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:08
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:09
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.50%E -2.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 17:59
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.51%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.67%E -5.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-07-27 20:35
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-07-27 20:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%10.2%2026-07-27 20:10