L’École des cotes

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-29 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 43.06%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.958%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.31%43.06%43.15%44.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.212.3048.78%45.22%45.35%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.94%1.76cote équitable
EV -0.358%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.477%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.92%56.94%56.85%57.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.75%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.958%E -0.417%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 18:00
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.991%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.991%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 18:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:15
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:08
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.358%E -0.204%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 20:15
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 20:10
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 19:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:08
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.13%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:09
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.56%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 17:59
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.72%E -5.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-07-27 20:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%10.2%2026-07-27 20:10