Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-07-29 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–3 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 42.13%2.37odd justa
EV -0.161%
Vantagem -0.068%
Kelly -0.118%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.36%42.17%42.13%43.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.252.252.3747.17%44.41%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 57.87%1.73odd justa
EV -0.457%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.634%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.19%57.83%57.87%59.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.591.661.661.7262.89%60.24%60.24%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 42.13%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 57.87%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.374. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.370, com valor esperado de -0.161%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.161%E -0.068%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 01:39
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.00%E -0.427%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 01:35
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.00%E -0.427%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 22:35
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.00%E -0.427%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 00:52
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.00%E -0.427%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.98%E -5.02%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.43%E -0.609%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.43%E -0.609%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 01:19
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.85%E -0.792%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 01:19
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.27%E -0.977%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 01:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 00:29
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 22:49
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:44
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:59
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 01:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 02:40
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.53%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.04%E -0.606%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 20:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.53%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:53
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.95%E -1.73%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:39
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.80%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.04%E -0.606%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 01:39
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 01:39
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 23:15
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:44
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 23:09
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 01:29
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.64%E -2.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:39
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -0.457%E -0.266%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 00:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.61%E -0.950%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 01:40
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:33
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.61%E -0.950%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 00:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 01:39
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:45
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 01:39
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.74%E -3.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.61%E -0.950%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:09
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.61%E -0.950%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:09
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.61%E -0.950%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:09
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.61%E -0.950%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:09
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 00:44
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 01:32
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 01:33
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.69%E -5.04%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 00:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-29 01:39
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%1.0%2026-07-29 01:39
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-28 22:50
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-28 23:35
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-29 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-29 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-29 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-29 01:40
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-07-29 01:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-07-29 01:39