Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-07 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 50.92%1.96fair odd
EV -0.187%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.195%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.91%50.91%51.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.871.9656.18%53.48%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 49.08%2.04fair odd
EV -0.377%
Edge -0.186%
Kelly -0.366%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.08%49.09%49.09%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.941.942.0354.35%51.65%51.55%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 50.92%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 49.08%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.964. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.960, with an expected value of -0.187%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.187%E -0.096%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 19:15
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.697%E -0.357%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.72%E -0.889%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.72%E -0.889%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.72%E -0.889%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.925%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.75%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.377%E -0.186%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.28%E -2.84%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.28%E -2.84%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.83%E -4.32%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.23%E -4.40%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.35%E -5.25%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -8.72%E -4.69%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.35%E -5.25%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.70%E -5.27%K -11.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-06 00:50
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-05 21:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%7.8%2026-08-06 00:50