Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-08-07 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 1–5 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 49.80%2.01odd justa
EV -0.400%
Vantagem -0.200%
Kelly -0.400%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.83%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.25%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 50.20%1.99odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%50.17%50.00%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.901.9554.64%52.77%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 49.80%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 50.20%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -0.400%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.400%E -0.200%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 01:20
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%EV -0.898%E -0.451%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 01:20
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.898%E -0.451%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.40%E -0.705%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 01:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.40%E -0.705%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 01:25
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.40%E -0.705%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 01:20
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.40%E -0.705%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 01:21
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.89%E -0.962%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 01:19
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.89%E -0.962%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 01:40
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 01:21
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:10
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 01:20
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 01:35
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:35
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 01:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 01:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.63%E -3.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 01:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 00:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:40
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.62%E -1.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.62%E -1.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.62%E -1.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.12%E -2.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.12%E -2.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 01:40
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.12%E -2.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 01:40
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.12%E -2.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 01:14
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.37%E -3.96%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.37%E -3.96%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 02:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:29
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.87%E -4.84%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-07 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-08-07 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-07 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-07 01:35
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-06 22:55
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-07 01:40
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-08-07 01:41
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-08-07 01:40
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-08-07 01:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-06 23:40