Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-07 01:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 50.87%1.97odd justa
EV -0.797%
Vantagem -0.408%
Kelly -0.838%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.81%50.86%51.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.871.871.9556.18%53.45%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 49.13%2.04odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.874%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.43%49.19%49.14%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.941.942.0054.35%51.65%51.55%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 50.87%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 49.13%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.95, com valor esperado de -0.797%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.797%E -0.408%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:49
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 01:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.75%E -0.874%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.92%E -4.38%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -8.62%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.61%E -5.22%K -11.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-06 01:30
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-08-06 01:30